So Much for the Renewal of the LDP

In the LDP presidential contest run-off Abe Shinzo prevailed over Ishiba Shigeru, 108 to 89 votes, after Ishiba took out the LDP chapters by a margin of 165 to 87 (with three others) and 199 to 141 including the Diet members first round votes. Ishihara gained a full 65 votes from Diet members, but only 34 from the regional chapters. The factions played a decisive role in this outcome.

If this represents a renewal of the LDP, then they are  doing it by going all the way back to the start of the 1955 system. This is the first time in 56 years that a second place getter in the first round has managed to prevail in a run-off of only LDP Diet Members.

 

 

4 thoughts on “So Much for the Renewal of the LDP

  1. “If this represents a renewal of the LDP, then they are doing it by going all the way back to the start of the 1955 system. This is the first time in 56 years that a second place getter in the first round has managed to prevail in a run-off of only LDP Diet Members.”

    An exceedingly elegant framing of the anomalous choice of the Diet members to override the candidate preference expressed by the majority of the party’s prefectural branch officers.

    • The symmetry was too difficult to resist. Especially since it was Grandpa Kishi who was the victim of this the first time around when he lost to Ishibashi Tanzan. Oh, the irony.

    • Right! The political situation is so in flux right now and the electoral math weird, that it is completely possible that he will be the next PM even if only 20 percent of the public votes for him. The only hope is that he gets people (like my wife who pays attention but otherwise does’t think it makes a difference) out to vote against him. But I doubt that will happen (on both accounts!)

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